Velez Sarsfield x Belgrano Betting tips for October 27 in Argentina Liga Profesional
📅 27/10/2024 01:00 |
Velez Sarsfield 1.77 |
X 3.38 |
Belgrano 4.68 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Velez Sarsfield x Belgrano:
🔮 Velez Sarsfield wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Velez Sarsfield, you can win up to $885.00!
The main points for the tip for Velez Sarsfield x Belgrano: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Velez Sarsfield in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $458.0. |
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Analysis from Velez Sarsfield x Belgrano for the Argentina Liga Profesional – 27 of October
🏟️ Velez Sarsfield X Belgrano – Argentina Liga Profesional |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Velez Sarsfield x Belgrano right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1208103 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Velez Sarsfield x Belgrano
Should you bet on Velez Sarsfield?
🔵 Velez Sarsfield: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 70.36% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.77. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 700 times – this would give you a profit of $539.00
- And would have lost other 300 times – with a loss of -$300.00 because of them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$239.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.92% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.38. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 210 times – profiting $499.80;
- And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$290.20.
Is it a good idea to bet on Belgrano?
🔴 Belgrano: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.72% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.68. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 90 times – having a profit of $331.20;
- And would lose other 910 times – losing -$910.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$578.80.
Handicaps analysis for the match Velez Sarsfield x Belgrano
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Velez Sarsfield
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Velez Sarsfield x Belgrano
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Velez Sarsfield and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Velez Sarsfield.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Velez Sarsfield.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Velez Sarsfield x Belgrano
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.