Velez Sarsfield x Belgrano Betting tips for October 27 in Argentina Liga Profesional

Our betting tip for Velez Sarsfield x Belgrano, Sunday, 27/10/2024

📅 27/10/2024 01:00

Velez Sarsfield 1.77

X 3.38

Belgrano 4.68

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Velez Sarsfield x Belgrano:

🔮 Velez Sarsfield wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Velez Sarsfield, you can win up to $885.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Velez Sarsfield x Belgrano: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Velez Sarsfield in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $458.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Belgrano in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-67.0. 👉 Velez Sarsfield did not concede a goal in the last 7 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Velez Sarsfield scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Belgrano, Velez Sarsfield scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Velez Sarsfield matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Velez Sarsfield is good playing home: it has 7 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 In the last 3 road matches, Belgrano has not lost any of them.

Looking for another bookie to bet on Velez Sarsfield x Belgrano?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Velez Sarsfield x Belgrano for the Argentina Liga Profesional – 27 of October

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Velez Sarsfield x Belgrano right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1208103 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Velez Sarsfield x Belgrano

Should you bet on Velez Sarsfield?

🔵 Velez Sarsfield: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 70.36% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.77. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 700 times – this would give you a profit of $539.00
• And would have lost other 300 times – with a loss of -$300.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$239.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.92% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.38. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 210 times – profiting $499.80;
• And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$290.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on Belgrano?

🔴 Belgrano: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.72% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.68. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 90 times – having a profit of $331.20;
• And would lose other 910 times – losing -$910.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$578.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match Velez Sarsfield x Belgrano

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Velez Sarsfield
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Velez Sarsfield x Belgrano

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Velez Sarsfield and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Velez Sarsfield.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Velez Sarsfield.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Velez Sarsfield x Belgrano

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.