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Home » Predictions » KCB x Tusker Betting tips for October 26 in Kenya Premier League
Saturday, 26 October 2024, 10h00 Kenya Premier League
KCB KCB
PREDICTION No tip
Tusker Tusker
Don't miss this prediction!

KCB x Tusker Betting tips for October 26 in Kenya Premier League

Our betting tip for KCB x Tusker, Saturday, 26/10/2024
📅 26/10/2024
10:00
KCB KCB
2.32
X
3.08
Tusker Tusker
2.92

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for KCB x Tusker:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for KCB x Tusker

The main points for the tip for KCB x Tusker:

👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Tusker scored at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on KCB x Tusker?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on KCB x Tusker, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from KCB x Tusker for the Kenya Premier League – 26 of October

🏟️ KCB X Tusker – Kenya Premier League
📅 26 of October, 2024 – 10:00
🔵 KCB – Winning probability: 41.15% | Fair line: 2.43
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.78% | Fair line: 3.88
🔴 Tusker – Winning probability: 33.07% | Fair line: 3.02
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 KCB
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between KCB and Tusker.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1209027 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for KCB x Tusker

Should you bet on KCB?

🔵 KCB: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 41.15% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.32. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 410 times – having a profit of $541.20;
  • And would have lost other 590 times – with a loss of -$590.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$48.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.78% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.08. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $540.80
  • And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$199.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on Tusker?

🔴 Tusker: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.07% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.92. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $633.60
  • And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$36.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match KCB x Tusker

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 KCB
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for KCB x Tusker

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 KCB and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 KCB.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for KCB x Tusker

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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