Chelsea x Newcastle Betting tips for October 27 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Chelsea x Newcastle, Sunday, 27/10/2024

📅 27/10/2024 14:00

Chelsea 1.86

X 3.92

Newcastle 3.68

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Chelsea x Newcastle:

🔮 Chelsea wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Chelsea, you can win up to $930.00!

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Important information for your tip for Chelsea x Newcastle: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Chelsea in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-97.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Newcastle in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-300.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Chelsea scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Newcastle, Chelsea scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Chelsea conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Chelsea conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Newcastle. 👉 Chelsea has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Newcastle playing at home.

Looking for another bookie to bet on Chelsea x Newcastle?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Chelsea x Newcastle for the England Premier League – 27 of October

When the best bet on Chelsea x Newcastle is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1209557 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Chelsea x Newcastle

Is betting on Chelsea worth it?

🔵 Chelsea: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 67.78% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.86. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 680 times – having a profit of $584.80;
• And would lose other 320 times – losing -$320.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$264.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.12%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.92. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $467.20
• And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$372.80.

Is it worth betting on Newcastle?

🔴 Newcastle: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.09% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.68. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $428.80;
• And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$411.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Chelsea x Newcastle

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Chelsea
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Chelsea x Newcastle

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Chelsea, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Chelsea.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Chelsea.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Chelsea x Newcastle

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.