Lyon x Auxerre Betting tips for October 27 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Lyon x Auxerre, Sunday, 27/10/2024

📅 27/10/2024 14:00

Lyon 1.60

X 4.33

Auxerre 4.80

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Lyon x Auxerre:

🔮 Lyon wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lyon, you can win up to $800.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Lyon x Auxerre: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lyon in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $46.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Auxerre in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Auxerre scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Lyon matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 Auxerre matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Auxerre conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 It is not a good time for Auxerre as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Analysis from Lyon x Auxerre for the France Ligue 1 – 27 of October

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Lyon and Auxerre.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1209557 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Lyon x Auxerre

Is it a good idea to bet on Lyon?

🔵 Lyon: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 81.05%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 810 times – profiting $486.00;
• And would lose other 190 times – losing -$190.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$296.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 7.47%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.33. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 70 times – profiting $233.10;
• And would have lost other 930 times – with a loss of -$930.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$696.90.

Is it worth betting on Auxerre?

🔴 Auxerre: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 11.48% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $418.00;
• And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$472.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Lyon x Auxerre

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Lyon
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lyon x Auxerre

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.75 Lyon and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Lyon.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Lyon.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lyon x Auxerre

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.