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Home » Predictions » Others » Dynamo Kiev x Shakhtar Donetsk Betting tips for October 27 in Ukraine Vyscha Liga
Sunday, 27 October 2024, 16h00 Ukraine Vyscha Liga
Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 33% 1 X 2
Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk
ODD: @3.25 Don't miss this prediction!

Dynamo Kiev x Shakhtar Donetsk Betting tips for October 27 in Ukraine Vyscha Liga

Our betting tip for Dynamo Kiev x Shakhtar Donetsk, Sunday, 27/10/2024
📅 27/10/2024
16:00
Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev
2.60
X
3.25
Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk
2.45

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Dynamo Kiev x Shakhtar Donetsk:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1625.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Dynamo Kiev x Shakhtar Donetsk:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Dynamo Kiev in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-110.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Shakhtar Donetsk in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-378.0.
👉 In the last 4 Shakhtar Donetsk matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Dynamo Kiev x Shakhtar Donetsk, with Dynamo Kiev as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from Dynamo Kiev x Shakhtar Donetsk for the Ukraine Vyscha Liga – 27 of October

🏟️ Dynamo Kiev X Shakhtar Donetsk – Ukraine Vyscha Liga
📅 27 of October, 2024 – 16:00
🔵 Dynamo Kiev – Winning probability: 45.15% | Fair line: 2.21
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 33.14% | Fair line: 3.02
🔴 Shakhtar Donetsk – Winning probability: 21.70% | Fair line: 4.61
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Dynamo Kiev
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Dynamo Kiev x Shakhtar Donetsk right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1209557 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Dynamo Kiev x Shakhtar Donetsk

Should you bet on Dynamo Kiev?

🔵 Dynamo Kiev: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 45.15% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 450 times – profiting $720.00;
  • And would lose other 550 times – losing -$550.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$170.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.14% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $742.50;
  • And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$72.50.

Is betting on Shakhtar Donetsk worth it?

🔴 Shakhtar Donetsk: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.7% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $319.00;
  • And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$461.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Dynamo Kiev x Shakhtar Donetsk

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Dynamo Kiev
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Dynamo Kiev x Shakhtar Donetsk

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Dynamo Kiev, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Dynamo Kiev.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Dynamo Kiev.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Dynamo Kiev x Shakhtar Donetsk

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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