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Home » Predictions » Others » OFK Petrovac x FK Arsenal Betting tips for October 27 in Montenegro Prva Liga
Sunday, 27 October 2024, 16h00 Montenegro Prva Liga
OFK Petrovac OFK Petrovac
PREDICTION No tip
FK Arsenal FK Arsenal
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OFK Petrovac x FK Arsenal Betting tips for October 27 in Montenegro Prva Liga

Our betting tip for OFK Petrovac x FK Arsenal, Sunday, 27/10/2024
📅 27/10/2024
16:00
OFK Petrovac OFK Petrovac
1.82
X
3.15
FK Arsenal FK Arsenal
4.38

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for OFK Petrovac x FK Arsenal:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for OFK Petrovac x FK Arsenal

The main points for the tip for OFK Petrovac x FK Arsenal:

👉 If you had bet $100 on OFK Petrovac in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $121.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on FK Arsenal in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $100.0.
👉 Playing as the home team, OFK Petrovac conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against FK Arsenal.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on OFK Petrovac x FK Arsenal?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on OFK Petrovac x FK Arsenal, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from OFK Petrovac x FK Arsenal for the Montenegro Prva Liga – 27 of October

🏟️ OFK Petrovac X FK Arsenal – Montenegro Prva Liga
📅 27 of October, 2024 – 16:00
🔵 OFK Petrovac – Winning probability: 55.15% | Fair line: 1.81
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.74% | Fair line: 3.6
🔴 FK Arsenal – Winning probability: 17.10% | Fair line: 5.85
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 OFK Petrovac
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for OFK Petrovac x FK Arsenal right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1209557 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for OFK Petrovac x FK Arsenal

Is it worth betting on OFK Petrovac?

🔵 OFK Petrovac: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 55.15% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.82. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 550 times – this would give you a profit of $451.00
  • And would have lost other 450 times – with a loss of -$450.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$1.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.74% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $602.00
  • And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$118.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it a good idea to bet on FK Arsenal?

🔴 FK Arsenal: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.1% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.38. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $574.60
  • And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$255.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match OFK Petrovac x FK Arsenal

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 OFK Petrovac
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for OFK Petrovac x FK Arsenal

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 OFK Petrovac, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 OFK Petrovac.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for OFK Petrovac x FK Arsenal

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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