Nice x Monaco Betting tips for October 27 in France Ligue 1
π
27/10/2024 16:00 |
Nice 2.88 |
X 3.43 |
Monaco 2.35 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Nice x Monaco:
π Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Nice x Monaco
Some important points for the tip for Nice x Monaco: π If you had bet $100 on Nice in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-350.0. |
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Analysis from Nice x Monaco for the France Ligue 1 – 27 of October
ποΈ Nice X Monaco – France Ligue 1 |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Nice x Monaco right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1209557 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Nice x Monaco
Is it worth betting on Nice?
π΅ Nice: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.64%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.88. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 270 times – profiting $507.60;
- And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of π°-$222.40.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
βͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.59% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.43. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $704.70
- And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.
It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just π°$5.30. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!
Should you bet on Monaco?
π΄ Monaco: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 44.78%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.35. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 450 times – this would give you a profit of $607.50
- And would lose other 550 times – having a loss of -$550.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of π°-$57.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Nice x Monaco
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
β Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Nice
β½ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Nice x Monaco
β Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Nice and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Nice.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Nice.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Nice x Monaco
β½ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.