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Home » Predictions » Bundesliga 1 » Heidenheim x TSG Hoffenheim Betting tips for October 27 in Germany Bundesliga I
Sunday, 27 October 2024, 18h30 Germany Bundesliga I
Heidenheim Heidenheim
PREDICTION Heidenheim wins Probability 56% 1 X 2
TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim
ODD: @2.18 Don't miss this prediction!

Heidenheim x TSG Hoffenheim Betting tips for October 27 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Heidenheim x TSG Hoffenheim, Sunday, 27/10/2024
📅 27/10/2024
18:30
Heidenheim Heidenheim
2.18
X
3.60
TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim
3.05

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Heidenheim x TSG Hoffenheim:

🔮 Heidenheim wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Heidenheim, you can win up to $1090.00!

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Important information for your tip for Heidenheim x TSG Hoffenheim:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Heidenheim in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $65.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on TSG Hoffenheim in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 TSG Hoffenheim matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Heidenheim conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, TSG Hoffenheim conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Heidenheim x TSG Hoffenheim?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Heidenheim x TSG Hoffenheim for the Germany Bundesliga I – 27 of October

🏟️ Heidenheim X TSG Hoffenheim – Germany Bundesliga I
📅 27 of October, 2024 – 18:30
🔵 Heidenheim – Winning probability: 56.37% | Fair line: 1.77
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.69% | Fair line: 4.41
🔴 TSG Hoffenheim – Winning probability: 20.95% | Fair line: 4.77
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Heidenheim
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Heidenheim and TSG Hoffenheim.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1209557 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Heidenheim x TSG Hoffenheim

Is it a good idea to bet on Heidenheim?

🔵 Heidenheim: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 56.37%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.18. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 560 times – this would give you a profit of $660.80
  • And would have lost other 440 times – with a loss of -$440.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$220.80.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.69% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $598.00
  • And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$172.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on TSG Hoffenheim?

🔴 TSG Hoffenheim: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.95%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – profiting $430.50;
  • And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$359.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Heidenheim x TSG Hoffenheim

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Heidenheim
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Heidenheim x TSG Hoffenheim

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Heidenheim, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Heidenheim. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Heidenheim x TSG Hoffenheim

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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