Marseille x PSG Betting tips for October 27 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Marseille x PSG, Sunday, 27/10/2024

📅 27/10/2024 19:45

Marseille 3.42

X 3.75

PSG 2.00

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Marseille x PSG:

🔮 PSG wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on PSG, you can win up to $1000.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Marseille x PSG: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Marseille in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-66.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on PSG in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-173.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Marseille scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 PSG matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, PSG conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Marseille conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against PSG. 👉 PSG is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 3 away matches, it had at least 65.00% of possession.

Looking for another bookie to bet on Marseille x PSG?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Marseille x PSG:

Analysis from Marseille x PSG for the France Ligue 1 – 27 of October

When the best bet on Marseille x PSG is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1209557 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Marseille x PSG

Is it worth betting on Marseille?

🔵 Marseille: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.58% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.42. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $556.60;
• And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$213.40.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.33% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 190 times – profiting $522.50;
• And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$287.50.

Should you bet on PSG?

🔴 PSG: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 58.08%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 580 times – profiting $580.00;
• And would lose other 420 times – losing -$420.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$160.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Marseille x PSG

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Marseille
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Marseille x PSG

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Marseille and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Marseille.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Marseille x PSG

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.