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Home » Predictions » Others » Boca Juniors x Deportivo Riestra Betting tips for October 27 in Argentina Liga Profesional
Sunday, 27 October 2024, 22h00 Argentina Liga Profesional
Boca Juniors Boca Juniors
PREDICTION Boca Juniors wins Probability 80% 1 X 2
Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra
ODD: @1.58 Don't miss this prediction!

Boca Juniors x Deportivo Riestra Betting tips for October 27 in Argentina Liga Profesional

Our betting tip for Boca Juniors x Deportivo Riestra, Sunday, 27/10/2024
📅 27/10/2024
22:00
Boca Juniors Boca Juniors
1.58
X
3.72
Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra
5.85

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Boca Juniors x Deportivo Riestra:

🔮 Boca Juniors wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Boca Juniors, you can win up to $790.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Boca Juniors x Deportivo Riestra:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Boca Juniors in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-105.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Riestra in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 4 Boca Juniors matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from Boca Juniors x Deportivo Riestra for the Argentina Liga Profesional – 27 of October

🏟️ Boca Juniors X Deportivo Riestra – Argentina Liga Profesional
📅 27 of October, 2024 – 22:00
🔵 Boca Juniors – Winning probability: 80.11% | Fair line: 1.25
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 14.70% | Fair line: 6.8
🔴 Deportivo Riestra – Winning probability: 5.19% | Fair line: 19.27
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Boca Juniors
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Boca Juniors and Deportivo Riestra.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1210026 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Boca Juniors x Deportivo Riestra

Is it worth betting on Boca Juniors?

🔵 Boca Juniors: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 80.11% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.58. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 800 times – having a profit of $464.00;
  • And would lose other 200 times – having a loss of -$200.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$264.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.7% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.72. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – profiting $408.00;
  • And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$442.00.

Should you bet on Deportivo Riestra?

🔴 Deportivo Riestra: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 5.19% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.85. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 50 times – this would give you a profit of $242.50
  • And would have lost other 950 times – with a loss of -$950.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$707.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Boca Juniors x Deportivo Riestra

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Boca Juniors
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Boca Juniors x Deportivo Riestra

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Boca Juniors and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Boca Juniors.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Deportivo Riestra.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Boca Juniors x Deportivo Riestra

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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