AFC Leopards x Mara Sugar FC Betting tips for October 27 in Kenya Premier League
📅 27/10/2024 13:00 |
AFC Leopards 2.06 |
X 3.00 |
Mara Sugar FC 3.44 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for AFC Leopards x Mara Sugar FC:
👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for AFC Leopards x Mara Sugar FC
The main points for the tip for AFC Leopards x Mara Sugar FC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Mara Sugar FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-326.0. |
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Analysis from AFC Leopards x Mara Sugar FC for the Kenya Premier League – 27 of October
🏟️ AFC Leopards X Mara Sugar FC – Kenya Premier League |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for AFC Leopards x Mara Sugar FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1209557 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for AFC Leopards x Mara Sugar FC
Is betting on AFC Leopards worth it?
🔵 AFC Leopards: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 45.94% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.06. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 460 times – profiting $487.60;
- And would lose other 540 times – losing -$540.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$52.40.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.65%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 330 times – profiting $660.00;
- And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$10.00.
Is betting on Mara Sugar FC worth it?
🔴 Mara Sugar FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.41%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.44. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $512.40;
- And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$277.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match AFC Leopards x Mara Sugar FC
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 AFC Leopards
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AFC Leopards x Mara Sugar FC
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 AFC Leopards and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 AFC Leopards.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AFC Leopards x Mara Sugar FC
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.