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Home » Predictions » Cuiaba x Corinthians Betting tips for October 28 in Brazil Serie A
Monday, 28 October 2024, 22h00 Brazil Serie A
Cuiaba Cuiaba
PREDICTION Corinthians Wins Probability 45% 1 X 2
Corinthians Corinthians
ODD: @2.55 Don't miss this prediction!

Cuiaba x Corinthians Betting tips for October 28 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Cuiaba x Corinthians, Monday, 28/10/2024
📅 28/10/2024
22:00
Cuiaba Cuiaba
2.65
X
3.20
Corinthians Corinthians
2.55

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Cuiaba x Corinthians:

🔮 Corinthians wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Corinthians, you can win up to $1275.00!

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The main points for the tip for Cuiaba x Corinthians:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Cuiaba in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-170.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Corinthians in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-80.0.

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Summary

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Analysis from Cuiaba x Corinthians for the Brazil Serie A – 28 of October

🏟️ Cuiaba X Corinthians – Brazil Serie A
📅 28 of October, 2024 – 22:00
🔵 Cuiaba – Winning probability: 27.07% | Fair line: 3.69
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.40% | Fair line: 3.65
🔴 Corinthians – Winning probability: 45.53% | Fair line: 2.2
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Cuiaba
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Cuiaba x Corinthians right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1209557 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Cuiaba x Corinthians

Is betting on Cuiaba worth it?

🔵 Cuiaba: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.07% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.65. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $445.50;
  • And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$284.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.4% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $594.00
  • And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$136.00.

Is betting on Corinthians worth it?

🔴 Corinthians: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 45.53% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.55. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 460 times – having a profit of $713.00;
  • And would have lost other 540 times – with a loss of -$540.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$173.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Cuiaba x Corinthians

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Cuiaba
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cuiaba x Corinthians

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Cuiaba, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Cuiaba.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cuiaba x Corinthians

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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