Gimnasia LP x Union Santa Fe Betting tips for October 28 in Argentina Liga Profesional

Our betting tip for Gimnasia LP x Union Santa Fe, Monday, 28/10/2024

📅 28/10/2024 22:00

Gimnasia LP 2.45

X 2.80

Union Santa Fe 3.25

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Gimnasia LP x Union Santa Fe:

🔮 Gimnasia LP wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Gimnasia LP, you can win up to $1225.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Gimnasia LP x Union Santa Fe: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Gimnasia LP in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-250.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Union Santa Fe in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 6 Gimnasia LP matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Gimnasia LP x Union Santa Fe, with Gimnasia LP as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Union Santa Fe conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Gimnasia LP x Union Santa Fe for the Argentina Liga Profesional – 28 of October

When the best bet on Gimnasia LP x Union Santa Fe is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1211374 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Gimnasia LP x Union Santa Fe

Is it worth betting on Gimnasia LP?

🔵 Gimnasia LP: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 48.83% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 490 times – this would give you a profit of $710.50
• And would lose other 510 times – losing -$510.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$200.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.59%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 290 times – profiting $522.00;
• And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$188.00.

Is betting on Union Santa Fe worth it?

🔴 Union Santa Fe: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.58% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 230 times – profiting $517.50;
• And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$252.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Gimnasia LP x Union Santa Fe

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Gimnasia LP
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Gimnasia LP x Union Santa Fe

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Gimnasia LP and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Gimnasia LP.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Gimnasia LP x Union Santa Fe

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.