Cologne x Holstein Kiel Betting tips for October 29 in Germany DFB Pokal

Our betting tip for Cologne x Holstein Kiel, Tuesday, 29/10/2024

📅 29/10/2024 19:45

Cologne 1.90

X 3.80

Holstein Kiel 3.49

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Cologne x Holstein Kiel:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Cologne x Holstein Kiel

Important information for your tip for Cologne x Holstein Kiel: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Cologne in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-133.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Holstein Kiel in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-325.0. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Cologne scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Holstein Kiel scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 Holstein Kiel matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Holstein Kiel conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Cologne x Holstein Kiel?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Cologne x Holstein Kiel, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Cologne x Holstein Kiel for the Germany DFB Pokal – 29 of October

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Cologne x Holstein Kiel right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1211436 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Cologne x Holstein Kiel

Should you bet on Cologne?

🔵 Cologne: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 52.01% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 520 times – profiting $468.00;
• And would lose other 480 times – losing -$480.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$12.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.32% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $560.00
• And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$240.00.

Should you bet on Holstein Kiel?

🔴 Holstein Kiel: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.67% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.49. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $697.20
• And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$22.80 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Handicaps analysis for the match Cologne x Holstein Kiel

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Cologne
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cologne x Holstein Kiel

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Cologne and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Cologne.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Cologne.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cologne x Holstein Kiel

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.