St Mirren x St Johnstone Betting tips for October 30 in Scotland Premiership
| 📅 30/10/2024 19:45 |
 St Mirren1.75 |
X 3.70 |
St Johnstone  4.29 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for St Mirren x St Johnstone:
🔮 St Mirren wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on St Mirren, you can win up to $875.00!
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Some important points for the tip for St Mirren x St Johnstone: 👉 If you had bet $100 on St Mirren in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-220.0. |
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Analysis from St Mirren x St Johnstone for the Scotland Premiership – 30 of October
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🏟️ St Mirren X St Johnstone – Scotland Premiership |
When the best bet on St Mirren x St Johnstone is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1212778 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for St Mirren x St Johnstone
Is it worth betting on St Mirren?
🔵 St Mirren: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 65.76% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 660 times – this would give you a profit of $495.00
- And would have lost other 340 times – with a loss of -$340.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$155.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.48% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $486.00
- And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$334.00.
Should you bet on St Johnstone?
🔴 St Johnstone: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.76%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.29. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 160 times – profiting $526.40;
- And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$313.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match St Mirren x St Johnstone
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 St Mirren
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for St Mirren x St Johnstone
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 St Mirren and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 St Mirren. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for St Mirren x St Johnstone
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
