Penarol x Botafogo Betting tips for October 31 in Copa Libertadores

Our betting tip for Penarol x Botafogo, Thursday, 31/10/2024

📅 31/10/2024 00:30

Penarol 2.45

X 3.12

Botafogo 2.84

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Penarol x Botafogo:

🔮 Botafogo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Botafogo, you can win up to $1420.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Penarol x Botafogo: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Penarol in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-49.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Botafogo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $160.0. 👉 Penarol did not concede a goal in the last 7 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Botafogo scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Penarol matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 Botafogo matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 road matches, Botafogo has not lost any of them.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Penarol x Botafogo?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Penarol x Botafogo:

Analysis from Penarol x Botafogo for the Copa Libertadores – 31 of October

When the best bet on Penarol x Botafogo is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1212930 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Penarol x Botafogo

Is it worth betting on Penarol?

🔵 Penarol: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.14% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $449.50
• And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$240.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.07% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.12. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 280 times – profiting $593.60;
• And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$126.40.

Is betting on Botafogo worth it?

🔴 Botafogo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 40.78% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.84. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 410 times – profiting $754.40;
• And would have lost other 590 times – with a loss of -$590.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$164.40.

Handicaps analysis for the match Penarol x Botafogo

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Penarol
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Penarol x Botafogo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Penarol and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Penarol. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Penarol x Botafogo

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.