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Home » Predictions » Others » Magesi FC x Kaizer Chiefs Betting tips for October 30 in South Africa Premier
Wednesday, 30 October 2024, 17h30 South Africa Premier
Magesi FC Magesi FC
PREDICTION Kaizer Chiefs Wins Probability 66% 1 X 2
Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs
ODD: @1.83 Don't miss this prediction!

Magesi FC x Kaizer Chiefs Betting tips for October 30 in South Africa Premier

Our betting tip for Magesi FC x Kaizer Chiefs, Wednesday, 30/10/2024
📅 30/10/2024
17:30
Magesi FC Magesi FC
4.50
X
3.15
Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs
1.83

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Magesi FC x Kaizer Chiefs:

🔮 Kaizer Chiefs wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Kaizer Chiefs, you can win up to $915.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Magesi FC x Kaizer Chiefs:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Magesi FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-338.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Kaizer Chiefs in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $215.0.

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Summary

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Analysis from Magesi FC x Kaizer Chiefs for the South Africa Premier – 30 of October

🏟️ Magesi FC X Kaizer Chiefs – South Africa Premier
📅 30 of October, 2024 – 17:30
🔵 Magesi FC – Winning probability: 10.00% | Fair line: 10.0
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.70% | Fair line: 4.22
🔴 Kaizer Chiefs – Winning probability: 66.30% | Fair line: 1.51
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Magesi FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Magesi FC x Kaizer Chiefs right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1212778 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Magesi FC x Kaizer Chiefs

Is betting on Magesi FC worth it?

🔵 Magesi FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 10.0% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 100 times – this would give you a profit of $350.00
  • And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$550.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.7% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – profiting $516.00;
  • And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$244.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Kaizer Chiefs?

🔴 Kaizer Chiefs: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 66.3% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.83. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 660 times – profiting $547.80;
  • And would have lost other 340 times – with a loss of -$340.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$207.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Magesi FC x Kaizer Chiefs

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Magesi FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Magesi FC x Kaizer Chiefs

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.0 Magesi FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Magesi FC.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Kaizer Chiefs.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Magesi FC x Kaizer Chiefs

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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