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Home » Predictions » Leones Del Norte x Chacaritas SC Betting tips for October 30 in Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
Wednesday, 30 October 2024, 21h00 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
Leones Del Norte Leones Del Norte
PREDICTION Leones Del Norte wins Probability 81% 1 X 2
Chacaritas SC Chacaritas SC
ODD: @1.62 Don't miss this prediction!

Leones Del Norte x Chacaritas SC Betting tips for October 30 in Ecuador LigaPro Serie B

Our betting tip for Leones Del Norte x Chacaritas SC, Wednesday, 30/10/2024
📅 30/10/2024
21:00
Leones Del Norte Leones Del Norte
1.62
X
3.40
Chacaritas SC Chacaritas SC
5.10

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Leones Del Norte x Chacaritas SC:

🔮 Leones Del Norte wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Leones Del Norte, you can win up to $810.00!

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Important information for your tip for Leones Del Norte x Chacaritas SC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Leones Del Norte in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-225.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Chacaritas SC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Leones Del Norte scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Chacaritas SC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Leones Del Norte conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Chacaritas SC conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Leones Del Norte x Chacaritas SC for the Ecuador LigaPro Serie B – 30 of October

🏟️ Leones Del Norte X Chacaritas SC – Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
📅 30 of October, 2024 – 21:00
🔵 Leones Del Norte – Winning probability: 81.73% | Fair line: 1.22
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 14.07% | Fair line: 7.11
🔴 Chacaritas SC – Winning probability: 4.20% | Fair line: 23.82
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Leones Del Norte
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Leones Del Norte x Chacaritas SC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1211436 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Leones Del Norte x Chacaritas SC

Is it a good idea to bet on Leones Del Norte?

🔵 Leones Del Norte: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 81.73%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.62. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 820 times – this would give you a profit of $508.40
  • And would lose other 180 times – having a loss of -$180.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$328.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.07% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 140 times – profiting $336.00;
  • And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$524.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Chacaritas SC?

🔴 Chacaritas SC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 4.2% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 40 times – having a profit of $164.00;
  • And would have lost other 960 times – with a loss of -$960.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$796.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Leones Del Norte x Chacaritas SC

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Leones Del Norte
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Leones Del Norte x Chacaritas SC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Leones Del Norte, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Leones Del Norte. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Leones Del Norte x Chacaritas SC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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