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Home » Predictions » Others » Servette x Lucerne Betting tips for October 31 in Switzerland Super League
Thursday, 31 October 2024, 19h30 Switzerland Super League
Servette Servette
PREDICTION No tip
Lucerne Lucerne
Don't miss this prediction!

Servette x Lucerne Betting tips for October 31 in Switzerland Super League

Our betting tip for Servette x Lucerne, Thursday, 31/10/2024
📅 31/10/2024
19:30
Servette Servette
1.84
X
3.80
Lucerne Lucerne
3.72

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Servette x Lucerne:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Servette x Lucerne

The main points for the tip for Servette x Lucerne:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Servette in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $340.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Servette scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Lucerne scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Lucerne, Servette scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Lucerne matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 9 matches as the away team, Lucerne conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Servette conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Lucerne.
👉 Servette is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 Servette has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Lucerne playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Servette x Lucerne for the Switzerland Super League – 31 of October

🏟️ Servette X Lucerne – Switzerland Super League
📅 31 of October, 2024 – 19:30
🔵 Servette – Winning probability: 54.02% | Fair line: 1.85
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.88% | Fair line: 4.57
🔴 Lucerne – Winning probability: 24.10% | Fair line: 4.15
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Servette
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Servette x Lucerne is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1212778 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Servette x Lucerne

Is it worth betting on Servette?

🔵 Servette: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 54.02% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.84. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 540 times – this would give you a profit of $453.60
  • And would have lost other 460 times – with a loss of -$460.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$6.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.88% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $616.00
  • And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$164.00.

Is it worth betting on Lucerne?

🔴 Lucerne: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.1%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.72. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – profiting $652.80;
  • And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$107.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Servette x Lucerne

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Servette
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Servette x Lucerne

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Servette, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Servette.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Lucerne.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Servette x Lucerne

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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