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Home » Predictions » Estudiantes LP x Independiente Rivadavia Betting tips for October 31 in Argentina Liga Profesional
Thursday, 31 October 2024, 22h00 Argentina Liga Profesional
Estudiantes LP Estudiantes LP
PREDICTION Estudiantes LP wins Probability 77% 1 X 2
Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia
ODD: @1.61 Don't miss this prediction!

Estudiantes LP x Independiente Rivadavia Betting tips for October 31 in Argentina Liga Profesional

Our betting tip for Estudiantes LP x Independiente Rivadavia, Thursday, 31/10/2024
📅 31/10/2024
22:00
Estudiantes LP Estudiantes LP
1.61
X
3.43
Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia
5.90

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Estudiantes LP x Independiente Rivadavia:

🔮 Estudiantes LP wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Estudiantes LP, you can win up to $805.00!

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Important information for your tip for Estudiantes LP x Independiente Rivadavia:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Estudiantes LP in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-117.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Independiente Rivadavia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Estudiantes LP scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Independiente Rivadavia matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Independiente Rivadavia conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Estudiantes LP x Independiente Rivadavia for the Argentina Liga Profesional – 31 of October

🏟️ Estudiantes LP X Independiente Rivadavia – Argentina Liga Profesional
📅 31 of October, 2024 – 22:00
🔵 Estudiantes LP – Winning probability: 77.48% | Fair line: 1.29
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.18% | Fair line: 6.18
🔴 Independiente Rivadavia – Winning probability: 6.34% | Fair line: 15.77
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Estudiantes LP
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Estudiantes LP x Independiente Rivadavia is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1212710 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Estudiantes LP x Independiente Rivadavia

Should you bet on Estudiantes LP?

🔵 Estudiantes LP: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 77.48% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.61. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 770 times – having a profit of $469.70;
  • And would have lost other 230 times – with a loss of -$230.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$239.70.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.18% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.43. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $388.80;
  • And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$451.20.

Should you bet on Independiente Rivadavia?

🔴 Independiente Rivadavia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 6.34% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 60 times – having a profit of $294.00;
  • And would have lost other 940 times – with a loss of -$940.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$646.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Estudiantes LP x Independiente Rivadavia

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Estudiantes LP
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Estudiantes LP x Independiente Rivadavia

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Estudiantes LP, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Estudiantes LP.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Independiente Rivadavia.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Estudiantes LP x Independiente Rivadavia

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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