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Home » Predictions » Sarmiento x CA Independiente Betting tips for October 31 in Argentina Liga Profesional
Thursday, 31 October 2024, 22h00 Argentina Liga Profesional
Sarmiento Sarmiento
PREDICTION CA Independiente Wins Probability 44% 1 X 2
CA Independiente CA Independiente
ODD: @2.69 Don't miss this prediction!

Sarmiento x CA Independiente Betting tips for October 31 in Argentina Liga Profesional

Our betting tip for Sarmiento x CA Independiente, Thursday, 31/10/2024
📅 31/10/2024
22:00
Sarmiento Sarmiento
2.79
X
2.88
CA Independiente CA Independiente
2.69

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Sarmiento x CA Independiente:

🔮 CA Independiente wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on CA Independiente, you can win up to $1345.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Sarmiento x CA Independiente:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Sarmiento in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-150.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on CA Independiente in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $150.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Sarmiento scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 CA Independiente matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Sarmiento x CA Independiente?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Sarmiento x CA Independiente, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Sarmiento x CA Independiente for the Argentina Liga Profesional – 31 of October

🏟️ Sarmiento X CA Independiente – Argentina Liga Profesional
📅 31 of October, 2024 – 22:00
🔵 Sarmiento – Winning probability: 20.85% | Fair line: 4.8
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 34.73% | Fair line: 2.88
🔴 CA Independiente – Winning probability: 44.42% | Fair line: 2.25
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Sarmiento
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Sarmiento x CA Independiente right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1212710 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Sarmiento x CA Independiente

Is it worth betting on Sarmiento?

🔵 Sarmiento: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.85% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.79. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $375.90;
  • And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$414.10.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.73% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.88. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 350 times – this would give you a profit of $658.00
  • And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$8.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it worth betting on CA Independiente?

🔴 CA Independiente: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 44.42% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.69. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 440 times – having a profit of $743.60;
  • And would lose other 560 times – having a loss of -$560.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$183.60.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Sarmiento x CA Independiente

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Sarmiento
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sarmiento x CA Independiente

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Sarmiento, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Sarmiento.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sarmiento x CA Independiente

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 1.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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