Cittadella Vis Modena x Forli Betting tips for October 30 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for Cittadella Vis Modena x Forli, Wednesday, 30/10/2024

📅 30/10/2024 13:30

Cittadella Vis Modena 2.27

X 3.20

Forli 2.74

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Cittadella Vis Modena x Forli:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Cittadella Vis Modena x Forli

Some important points for the tip for Cittadella Vis Modena x Forli: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Cittadella Vis Modena in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $240.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Forli in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-95.0.

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Analysis from Cittadella Vis Modena x Forli for the Italy Serie D – 30 of October

When the best bet on Cittadella Vis Modena x Forli is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1212778 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Cittadella Vis Modena x Forli

Should you bet on Cittadella Vis Modena?

🔵 Cittadella Vis Modena: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.09%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.27. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $406.40
• And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$273.60.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.62%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 300 times – profiting $660.00;
• And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$40.00.

Is it worth betting on Forli?

🔴 Forli: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 38.29%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.74. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 380 times – profiting $661.20;
• And would have lost other 620 times – with a loss of -$620.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$41.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Cittadella Vis Modena x Forli

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Cittadella Vis Modena
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cittadella Vis Modena x Forli

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Cittadella Vis Modena and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Cittadella Vis Modena.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Forli.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cittadella Vis Modena x Forli

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.