Lentigione x Imolese Betting tips for October 30 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for Lentigione x Imolese, Wednesday, 30/10/2024

📅 30/10/2024 13:30

Lentigione 2.03

X 3.20

Imolese 3.15

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Lentigione x Imolese:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Lentigione x Imolese

The main points for the tip for Lentigione x Imolese: 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Imolese scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Imolese, Lentigione scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 road matches, Imolese has not lost any of them. 👉 Lentigione has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Imolese playing at home.

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Analysis from Lentigione x Imolese for the Italy Serie D – 30 of October

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Lentigione and Imolese.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1212778 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Lentigione x Imolese

Is it a good idea to bet on Lentigione?

🔵 Lentigione: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 44.53% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.03. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 450 times – this would give you a profit of $463.50
• And would lose other 550 times – having a loss of -$550.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$86.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.28% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $682.00;
• And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$8.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Should you bet on Imolese?

🔴 Imolese: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.19%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.15. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 240 times – profiting $516.00;
• And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$244.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Lentigione x Imolese

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Lentigione
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lentigione x Imolese

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Lentigione and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Lentigione.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lentigione x Imolese

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.