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Home » Predictions » UD Logrones x Eibar Betting tips for October 30 in Spain Copa del Rey
Wednesday, 30 October 2024, 19h00 Spain Copa del Rey
UD Logrones UD Logrones
PREDICTION Eibar Wins Probability 79% 1 X 2
Eibar Eibar
ODD: @1.62 Don't miss this prediction!

UD Logrones x Eibar Betting tips for October 30 in Spain Copa del Rey

Our betting tip for UD Logrones x Eibar, Wednesday, 30/10/2024
📅 30/10/2024
19:00
UD Logrones UD Logrones
5.14
X
3.60
Eibar Eibar
1.62

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for UD Logrones x Eibar:

🔮 Eibar wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Eibar, you can win up to $810.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for UD Logrones x Eibar:

👉 If you had bet $100 on UD Logrones in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-81.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Eibar in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-212.0.
👉 Eibar did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, UD Logrones scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Eibar matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Eibar conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Eibar as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on UD Logrones x Eibar?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on UD Logrones x Eibar, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from UD Logrones x Eibar for the Spain Copa del Rey – 30 of October

🏟️ UD Logrones X Eibar – Spain Copa del Rey
📅 30 of October, 2024 – 19:00
🔵 UD Logrones – Winning probability: 8.50% | Fair line: 11.77
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 11.63% | Fair line: 8.6
🔴 Eibar – Winning probability: 79.87% | Fair line: 1.25
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 UD Logrones
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between UD Logrones and Eibar.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1212778 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for UD Logrones x Eibar

Is it worth betting on UD Logrones?

🔵 UD Logrones: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.5% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.14. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 80 times – profiting $331.20;
  • And would lose other 920 times – having a loss of -$920.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$588.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 11.63%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – profiting $312.00;
  • And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$568.00.

Is betting on Eibar worth it?

🔴 Eibar: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 79.87% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.62. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 800 times – profiting $496.00;
  • And would lose other 200 times – losing -$200.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$296.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match UD Logrones x Eibar

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 UD Logrones
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for UD Logrones x Eibar

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 UD Logrones and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 UD Logrones.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for UD Logrones x Eibar

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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