CD Atletico Paso x Eldense Betting tips for October 30 in Spain Copa del Rey
📅 30/10/2024 20:30 |
CD Atletico Paso 7.45 |
X 3.90 |
Eldense 1.45 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for CD Atletico Paso x Eldense:
🔮 Eldense wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Eldense, you can win up to $725.00!
Some important points for the tip for CD Atletico Paso x Eldense: 👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Atletico Paso in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. |
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Analysis from CD Atletico Paso x Eldense for the Spain Copa del Rey – 30 of October
🏟️ CD Atletico Paso X Eldense – Spain Copa del Rey |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between CD Atletico Paso and Eldense.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1212930 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for CD Atletico Paso x Eldense
Is it worth betting on CD Atletico Paso?
🔵 CD Atletico Paso: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 3.15% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 7.45. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 30 times – this would give you a profit of $193.50
- And would have lost other 970 times – with a loss of -$970.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$776.50.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 6.07%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 60 times – profiting $174.00;
- And would lose other 940 times – losing -$940.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$766.00.
Is betting on Eldense worth it?
🔴 Eldense: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 90.78% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.45. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 910 times – profiting $409.50;
- And would lose other 90 times – losing -$90.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$319.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match CD Atletico Paso x Eldense
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 CD Atletico Paso
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Atletico Paso x Eldense
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.25 CD Atletico Paso, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 CD Atletico Paso.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Eldense.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Atletico Paso x Eldense
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.