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Home » Predictions » Monaco x Angers Betting tips for November 1 in France Ligue 1
Friday, 01 November 2024, 18h00 France Ligue 1
Monaco Monaco
PREDICTION Monaco wins Probability 95% 1 X 2
Angers Angers
ODD: @1.2 Don't miss this prediction!

Monaco x Angers Betting tips for November 1 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Monaco x Angers, Friday, 1/11/2024
📅 1/11/2024
18:00
Monaco Monaco
1.20
X
6.68
Angers Angers
12.00

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Monaco x Angers:

🔮 Monaco wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Monaco, you can win up to $600.00!

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Important information for your tip for Monaco x Angers:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Monaco in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $372.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Angers in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Angers scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Angers, Monaco scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Angers matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Angers conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Angers has not lost any of them.
👉 Monaco has won all the last 4 matches playing at home against Angers.

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Summary

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Analysis from Monaco x Angers for the France Ligue 1 – 1 of November

🏟️ Monaco X Angers – France Ligue 1
📅 1 of November, 2024 – 18:00
🔵 Monaco – Winning probability: 95.22% | Fair line: 1.05
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 3.18% | Fair line: 31.48
🔴 Angers – Winning probability: 1.61% | Fair line: 62.3
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.0 Monaco
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Monaco x Angers right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1212930 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Monaco x Angers

Is betting on Monaco worth it?

🔵 Monaco: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 95.22% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 950 times – having a profit of $190.00;
  • And would lose other 50 times – having a loss of -$50.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$140.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 3.18%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.68. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 30 times – this would give you a profit of $170.40
  • And would lose other 970 times – having a loss of -$970.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$799.60.

Is betting on Angers worth it?

🔴 Angers: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 1.61%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 12.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 20 times – having a profit of $220.00;
  • And would lose other 980 times – having a loss of -$980.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$760.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Monaco x Angers

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.0 Monaco
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Monaco x Angers

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -2.0 Monaco, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.75 Monaco.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.75 Monaco.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Monaco x Angers

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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