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Home » Predictions » Bundesliga 1 » Bayer Leverkusen x VfB Stuttgart Betting tips for November 1 in Germany Bundesliga I
Friday, 01 November 2024, 19h30 Germany Bundesliga I
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
PREDICTION VfB Stuttgart Wins Probability 31% 1 X 2
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
ODD: @5.2 Don't miss this prediction!

Bayer Leverkusen x VfB Stuttgart Betting tips for November 1 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Bayer Leverkusen x VfB Stuttgart, Friday, 1/11/2024
📅 1/11/2024
19:30
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
1.53
X
4.75
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
5.20

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Bayer Leverkusen x VfB Stuttgart:

🔮 VfB Stuttgart wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on VfB Stuttgart, you can win up to $2600.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Bayer Leverkusen x VfB Stuttgart:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Bayer Leverkusen in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $43.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on VfB Stuttgart in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $110.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Bayer Leverkusen scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against VfB Stuttgart, Bayer Leverkusen scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Bayer Leverkusen matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Bayer Leverkusen x VfB Stuttgart, with Bayer Leverkusen as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Bayer Leverkusen conceded at least 2 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against VfB Stuttgart.
👉 Bayer Leverkusen has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against VfB Stuttgart playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Bayer Leverkusen x VfB Stuttgart for the Germany Bundesliga I – 1 of November

🏟️ Bayer Leverkusen X VfB Stuttgart – Germany Bundesliga I
📅 1 of November, 2024 – 19:30
🔵 Bayer Leverkusen – Winning probability: 59.47% | Fair line: 1.68
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 8.63% | Fair line: 11.59
🔴 VfB Stuttgart – Winning probability: 31.90% | Fair line: 3.13
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Bayer Leverkusen
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Bayer Leverkusen and VfB Stuttgart.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1213551 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Bayer Leverkusen x VfB Stuttgart

Should you bet on Bayer Leverkusen?

🔵 Bayer Leverkusen: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 59.47% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.53. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 590 times – profiting $312.70;
  • And would have lost other 410 times – with a loss of -$410.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$97.30.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.63% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 90 times – profiting $337.50;
  • And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$572.50.

Should you bet on VfB Stuttgart?

🔴 VfB Stuttgart: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.9%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – profiting $1344.00;
  • And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$664.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Bayer Leverkusen x VfB Stuttgart

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Bayer Leverkusen
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bayer Leverkusen x VfB Stuttgart

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Bayer Leverkusen and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Bayer Leverkusen.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bayer Leverkusen x VfB Stuttgart

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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