CD Alaves x Mallorca Betting tips for November 1 in Spain La Liga

Our betting tip for CD Alaves x Mallorca, Friday, 1/11/2024

📅 1/11/2024 20:00

CD Alaves 2.39

X 3.00

Mallorca 3.28

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for CD Alaves x Mallorca:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for CD Alaves x Mallorca

Some important points for the tip for CD Alaves x Mallorca: 👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Alaves in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-105.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Mallorca in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $577.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Mallorca scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between CD Alaves x Mallorca, with CD Alaves as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 CD Alaves matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 Mallorca matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, CD Alaves conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Mallorca conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from CD Alaves x Mallorca for the Spain La Liga – 1 of November

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between CD Alaves and Mallorca.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1213551 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for CD Alaves x Mallorca

Is betting on CD Alaves worth it?

🔵 CD Alaves: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 38.16% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.39. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 380 times – profiting $528.20;
• And would have lost other 620 times – with a loss of -$620.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$91.80.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.72%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $660.00
• And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$10.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Mallorca?

🔴 Mallorca: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.12% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.28. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 290 times – profiting $661.20;
• And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$48.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match CD Alaves x Mallorca

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 CD Alaves
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Alaves x Mallorca

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 CD Alaves, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 CD Alaves.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Mallorca.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Alaves x Mallorca

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.