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Home » Predictions » Deportivo Madryn x CA San Miguel Betting tips for November 1 in Argentina Nacional B
Friday, 01 November 2024, 23h00 Argentina Nacional B
Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn
PREDICTION Deportivo Madryn wins Probability 69% 1 X 2
CA San Miguel CA San Miguel
ODD: @1.7 Don't miss this prediction!

Deportivo Madryn x CA San Miguel Betting tips for November 1 in Argentina Nacional B

Our betting tip for Deportivo Madryn x CA San Miguel, Friday, 1/11/2024
📅 1/11/2024
23:00
Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn
1.70
X
3.10
CA San Miguel CA San Miguel
5.25

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Deportivo Madryn x CA San Miguel:

🔮 Deportivo Madryn wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Deportivo Madryn, you can win up to $850.00!

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Important information for your tip for Deportivo Madryn x CA San Miguel:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Madryn in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $103.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on CA San Miguel in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Deportivo Madryn scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 CA San Miguel matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, CA San Miguel conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Deportivo Madryn is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Deportivo Madryn x CA San Miguel for the Argentina Nacional B – 1 of November

🏟️ Deportivo Madryn X CA San Miguel – Argentina Nacional B
📅 1 of November, 2024 – 23:00
🔵 Deportivo Madryn – Winning probability: 69.06% | Fair line: 1.45
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.18% | Fair line: 3.97
🔴 CA San Miguel – Winning probability: 5.76% | Fair line: 17.37
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Deportivo Madryn
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Deportivo Madryn and CA San Miguel.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1212930 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Deportivo Madryn x CA San Miguel

Is betting on Deportivo Madryn worth it?

🔵 Deportivo Madryn: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 69.06%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 690 times – having a profit of $483.00;
  • And would lose other 310 times – losing -$310.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$173.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.18% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $525.00
  • And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$225.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on CA San Miguel?

🔴 CA San Miguel: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 5.76% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 60 times – profiting $255.00;
  • And would have lost other 940 times – with a loss of -$940.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$685.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Deportivo Madryn x CA San Miguel

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Deportivo Madryn
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Deportivo Madryn x CA San Miguel

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Deportivo Madryn, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Deportivo Madryn.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Deportivo Madryn.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Deportivo Madryn x CA San Miguel

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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