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Home » Predictions » Quilmes x Defensores de Belgrano Betting tips for November 1 in Argentina Nacional B
Friday, 01 November 2024, 23h00 Argentina Nacional B
Quilmes Quilmes
PREDICTION Quilmes wins Probability 51% 1 X 2
Defensores de Belgrano Defensores de Belgrano
ODD: @1.83 Don't miss this prediction!

Quilmes x Defensores de Belgrano Betting tips for November 1 in Argentina Nacional B

Our betting tip for Quilmes x Defensores de Belgrano, Friday, 1/11/2024
📅 1/11/2024
23:00
Quilmes Quilmes
1.83
X
3.09
Defensores de Belgrano Defensores de Belgrano
5.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Quilmes x Defensores de Belgrano:

🔮 Quilmes wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Quilmes, you can win up to $915.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Quilmes x Defensores de Belgrano:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Quilmes in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $110.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Defensores de Belgrano in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-25.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Quilmes scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Defensores de Belgrano matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Quilmes x Defensores de Belgrano?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Quilmes x Defensores de Belgrano, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Quilmes x Defensores de Belgrano for the Argentina Nacional B – 1 of November

🏟️ Quilmes X Defensores de Belgrano – Argentina Nacional B
📅 1 of November, 2024 – 23:00
🔵 Quilmes – Winning probability: 51.48% | Fair line: 1.94
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.79% | Fair line: 3.47
🔴 Defensores de Belgrano – Winning probability: 19.73% | Fair line: 5.07
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Quilmes
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Quilmes x Defensores de Belgrano is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1212930 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Quilmes x Defensores de Belgrano

Is betting on Quilmes worth it?

🔵 Quilmes: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 51.48%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.83. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 510 times – having a profit of $423.30;
  • And would lose other 490 times – having a loss of -$490.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$66.70.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.79% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.09. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $606.10;
  • And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$103.90.

Is betting on Defensores de Belgrano worth it?

🔴 Defensores de Belgrano: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.73% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – profiting $800.00;
  • And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$0.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Quilmes x Defensores de Belgrano

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Quilmes
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Quilmes x Defensores de Belgrano

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Quilmes and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Quilmes.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Quilmes x Defensores de Belgrano

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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