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Home » Predictions » Major League Soccer » Charlotte FC x Orlando City SC Betting tips for November 1 in USA MLS Play-Offs
Friday, 01 November 2024, 23h30 USA MLS Play-Offs
Charlotte FC Charlotte FC
PREDICTION Charlotte FC wins Probability 47% 1 X 2
Orlando City SC Orlando City SC
ODD: @2.3 Don't miss this prediction!

Charlotte FC x Orlando City SC Betting tips for November 1 in USA MLS Play-Offs

Our betting tip for Charlotte FC x Orlando City SC, Friday, 1/11/2024
📅 1/11/2024
23:30
Charlotte FC Charlotte FC
2.30
X
3.55
Orlando City SC Orlando City SC
2.78

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Charlotte FC x Orlando City SC:

🔮 Charlotte FC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Charlotte FC, you can win up to $1150.00!

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The main points for the tip for Charlotte FC x Orlando City SC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Charlotte FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $5.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Orlando City SC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $370.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Charlotte FC scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Orlando City SC scored at least 3 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Orlando City SC, Charlotte FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Orlando City SC matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Orlando City SC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Charlotte FC is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 Charlotte FC has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Orlando City SC playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Charlotte FC x Orlando City SC for the USA MLS Play-Offs – 1 of November

🏟️ Charlotte FC X Orlando City SC – USA MLS Play-Offs
📅 1 of November, 2024 – 23:30
🔵 Charlotte FC – Winning probability: 47.94% | Fair line: 2.09
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.88% | Fair line: 5.92
🔴 Orlando City SC – Winning probability: 35.18% | Fair line: 2.84
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Charlotte FC
⚽ Expected goals: 4.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Charlotte FC and Orlando City SC.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1213551 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Charlotte FC x Orlando City SC

Should you bet on Charlotte FC?

🔵 Charlotte FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 47.94%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 480 times – profiting $624.00;
  • And would lose other 520 times – losing -$520.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$104.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.88%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $433.50
  • And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$396.50.

Is betting on Orlando City SC worth it?

🔴 Orlando City SC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 35.18% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.78. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 350 times – profiting $623.00;
  • And would lose other 650 times – having a loss of -$650.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$27.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Charlotte FC x Orlando City SC

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Charlotte FC
⚽ Expected goals: 4.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Charlotte FC x Orlando City SC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Charlotte FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Charlotte FC.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Orlando City SC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Charlotte FC x Orlando City SC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 4.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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