Once Caldas x Fortaleza CEIF Betting tips for November 2 in Colombia Primera A

Our betting tip for Once Caldas x Fortaleza CEIF, Saturday, 2/11/2024

📅 2/11/2024 01:00

Once Caldas 1.67

X 3.48

Fortaleza CEIF 5.32

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Once Caldas x Fortaleza CEIF:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Once Caldas x Fortaleza CEIF

The main points for the tip for Once Caldas x Fortaleza CEIF: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Once Caldas in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $59.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Fortaleza CEIF in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Fortaleza CEIF scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Once Caldas conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Fortaleza CEIF conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Looking for another bookie to bet on Once Caldas x Fortaleza CEIF?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Once Caldas x Fortaleza CEIF, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Once Caldas x Fortaleza CEIF for the Colombia Primera A – 2 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Once Caldas x Fortaleza CEIF right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1213137 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Once Caldas x Fortaleza CEIF

Is betting on Once Caldas worth it?

🔵 Once Caldas: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 62.57% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.67. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 630 times – profiting $422.10;
• And would lose other 370 times – losing -$370.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$52.10 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.16% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.48. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $669.60
• And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$60.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on Fortaleza CEIF?

🔴 Fortaleza CEIF: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 10.27% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.32. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 100 times – profiting $432.00;
• And would lose other 900 times – losing -$900.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$468.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Once Caldas x Fortaleza CEIF

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Once Caldas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Once Caldas x Fortaleza CEIF

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Once Caldas, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Once Caldas.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Once Caldas x Fortaleza CEIF

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.