Kayserispor x Adana Demirspor Betting tips for November 2 in Turkey Super Lig

Our betting tip for Kayserispor x Adana Demirspor, Saturday, 2/11/2024

📅 2/11/2024 13:00

Kayserispor 1.61

X 4.20

Adana Demirspor 4.55

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Kayserispor x Adana Demirspor:

🔮 Kayserispor wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Kayserispor, you can win up to $805.00!

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Important information for your tip for Kayserispor x Adana Demirspor: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Kayserispor in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Adana Demirspor in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Adana Demirspor scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Adana Demirspor, Kayserispor scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 Kayserispor matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 Adana Demirspor matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Kayserispor conceded at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Adana Demirspor conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Kayserispor conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Adana Demirspor. 👉 Kayserispor has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Adana Demirspor playing at home.

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Analysis from Kayserispor x Adana Demirspor for the Turkey Super Lig – 2 of November

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Kayserispor and Adana Demirspor.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1213968 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Kayserispor x Adana Demirspor

Is betting on Kayserispor worth it?

🔵 Kayserispor: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 74.52% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.61. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 750 times – this would give you a profit of $457.50
• And would lose other 250 times – losing -$250.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$207.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.73%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $416.00;
• And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$454.00.

Is betting on Adana Demirspor worth it?

🔴 Adana Demirspor: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.75% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.55. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 130 times – profiting $461.50;
• And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$408.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Kayserispor x Adana Demirspor

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Kayserispor
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Kayserispor x Adana Demirspor

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Kayserispor, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Kayserispor.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Kayserispor x Adana Demirspor

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.