Southampton x Everton Betting tips for November 2 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Southampton x Everton, Saturday, 2/11/2024

📅 2/11/2024 15:00

Southampton 2.43

X 3.45

Everton 2.80

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Southampton x Everton:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Southampton x Everton

Some important points for the tip for Southampton x Everton: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Southampton in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-367.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Everton in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-190.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Southampton scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Everton scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Everton, Southampton scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Everton matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Southampton conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 road matches, Everton has not lost any of them.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Southampton x Everton?

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Analysis from Southampton x Everton for the England Premier League – 2 of November

When the best bet on Southampton x Everton is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1213968 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Southampton x Everton

Is it worth betting on Southampton?

🔵 Southampton: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 36.2% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.43. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 360 times – profiting $514.80;
• And would lose other 640 times – losing -$640.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$125.20.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.24%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.45. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $735.00;
• And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$35.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is betting on Everton worth it?

🔴 Everton: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.55% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 340 times – profiting $612.00;
• And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$48.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Southampton x Everton

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Southampton
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Southampton x Everton

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Southampton and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Southampton.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Southampton x Everton

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.