Borussia Dortmund x RB Leipzig Betting tips for November 2 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Borussia Dortmund x RB Leipzig, Saturday, 2/11/2024

📅 2/11/2024 17:30

Borussia Dortmund 2.13

X 3.75

RB Leipzig 3.05

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Borussia Dortmund x RB Leipzig:

🔮 Borussia Dortmund wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Borussia Dortmund, you can win up to $1065.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Borussia Dortmund x RB Leipzig: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Borussia Dortmund in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $220.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on RB Leipzig in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $280.0. 👉 RB Leipzig did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as away team. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Borussia Dortmund scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against RB Leipzig, Borussia Dortmund scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 RB Leipzig matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 Borussia Dortmund matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Borussia Dortmund x RB Leipzig, with Borussia Dortmund as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Borussia Dortmund conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Borussia Dortmund conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against RB Leipzig. 👉 Borussia Dortmund is good playing home: it has 6 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 In the last 3 road matches, RB Leipzig has not lost any of them.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Borussia Dortmund x RB Leipzig?

Maybe you already have an account on Bet365, but that is not a problem! We, from the Clube da Aposta, have been on this business since 2010 and know which bookies are trustworthy or not. Check out our list of the best betting sites in Kenya from 2024, you just have to click and bet:

Analysis from Borussia Dortmund x RB Leipzig for the Germany Bundesliga I – 2 of November

When the best bet on Borussia Dortmund x RB Leipzig is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1213968 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Borussia Dortmund x RB Leipzig

Is it a good idea to bet on Borussia Dortmund?

🔵 Borussia Dortmund: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 50.1%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.13. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 500 times – having a profit of $565.00;
• And would lose other 500 times – losing -$500.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$65.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.85% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $742.50
• And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$12.50, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is betting on RB Leipzig worth it?

🔴 RB Leipzig: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.04%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 230 times – profiting $471.50;
• And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$298.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Borussia Dortmund x RB Leipzig

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Borussia Dortmund
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Borussia Dortmund x RB Leipzig

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Borussia Dortmund, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Borussia Dortmund.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Borussia Dortmund.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Borussia Dortmund x RB Leipzig

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.