Ajax x PSV Betting tips for November 2 in Netherlands Eredivisie

Our betting tip for Ajax x PSV, Saturday, 2/11/2024

📅 2/11/2024 17:45

Ajax 3.12

X 3.78

PSV 2.08

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Ajax x PSV:

🔮 PSV wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on PSV, you can win up to $1040.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Ajax x PSV: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Ajax in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $197.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on PSV in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-50.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Ajax scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, PSV scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against PSV, Ajax scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Ajax conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against PSV. 👉 Ajax is good playing home: it has 5 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 In the last 4 road matches, PSV has not lost any of them.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Ajax x PSV?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Ajax x PSV, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Ajax x PSV for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 2 of November

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Ajax and PSV.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1213551 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Ajax x PSV

Is it a good idea to bet on Ajax?

🔵 Ajax: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.43% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.12. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $657.20
• And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$32.80.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.85% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.78. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $389.20;
• And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$470.80.

Is betting on PSV worth it?

🔴 PSV: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 54.72% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.08. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 550 times – profiting $594.00;
• And would lose other 450 times – having a loss of -$450.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$144.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Ajax x PSV

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Ajax
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ajax x PSV

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Ajax, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Ajax.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Ajax.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ajax x PSV

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.