Toluca x Leon Betting tips for November 2 in Mexico Liga MX
| 📅 2/11/2024 23:00 |
 Toluca1.51 |
X 4.50 |
Leon  5.00 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Toluca x Leon:
🔮 Toluca wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Toluca, you can win up to $755.00!
|
Some important points for the tip for Toluca x Leon: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Toluca in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $79.0. |
Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Toluca x Leon?
Maybe you already have an account on Bet365, but that is not a problem! We, from the Clube da Aposta, have been on this business since 2010 and know which bookies are trustworthy or not. Check out our list of the best betting sites in Kenya from 2024, you just have to click and bet:
Analysis from Toluca x Leon for the Mexico Liga MX – 2 of November
|
🏟️ Toluca X Leon – Mexico Liga MX |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Toluca x Leon right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1213551 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Toluca x Leon
Is it worth betting on Toluca?
🔵 Toluca: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 74.99% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.51. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 750 times – having a profit of $382.50;
- And would lose other 250 times – losing -$250.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$132.50.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.07% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 120 times – having a profit of $420.00;
- And would have lost other 880 times – with a loss of -$880.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$460.00.
Should you bet on Leon?
🔴 Leon: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.95%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 130 times – profiting $520.00;
- And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$350.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Toluca x Leon
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Toluca
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Toluca x Leon
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Toluca, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Toluca.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Toluca.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Toluca x Leon
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.
