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Home » Predictions » Monterrey x Atlas Betting tips for November 3 in Mexico Liga MX
Sunday, 03 November 2024, 01h05 Mexico Liga MX
Monterrey Monterrey
PREDICTION Monterrey wins Probability 74% 1 X 2
Atlas Atlas
ODD: @1.61 Don't miss this prediction!

Monterrey x Atlas Betting tips for November 3 in Mexico Liga MX

Our betting tip for Monterrey x Atlas, Sunday, 3/11/2024
📅 3/11/2024
01:05
Monterrey Monterrey
1.61
X
3.75
Atlas Atlas
5.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Monterrey x Atlas:

🔮 Monterrey wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Monterrey, you can win up to $805.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Monterrey x Atlas:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Monterrey in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-108.0.
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Monterrey x Atlas, with Monterrey as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Monterrey has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Atlas playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Monterrey x Atlas for the Mexico Liga MX – 3 of November

🏟️ Monterrey X Atlas – Mexico Liga MX
📅 3 of November, 2024 – 01:05
🔵 Monterrey – Winning probability: 74.92% | Fair line: 1.33
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 14.46% | Fair line: 6.92
🔴 Atlas – Winning probability: 10.63% | Fair line: 9.41
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Monterrey
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Monterrey x Atlas is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1213279 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Monterrey x Atlas

Should you bet on Monterrey?

🔵 Monterrey: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 74.92% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.61. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 750 times – having a profit of $457.50;
  • And would lose other 250 times – having a loss of -$250.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$207.50.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.46% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $385.00;
  • And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$475.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Atlas?

🔴 Atlas: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.63% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 110 times – profiting $440.00;
  • And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$450.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Monterrey x Atlas

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Monterrey
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Monterrey x Atlas

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Monterrey, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Monterrey.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Atlas.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Monterrey x Atlas

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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