Ternana x Spal Betting tips for November 2 in Italy Serie C Group B
| 📅 2/11/2024 14:00 |
 Ternana1.68 |
X 3.40 |
Spal  4.64 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Ternana x Spal:
🔮 Ternana wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Ternana, you can win up to $840.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Ternana x Spal: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Ternana in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-9.0. |
Looking for another bookie to bet on Ternana x Spal?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Ternana x Spal, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Ternana x Spal for the Italy Serie C Group B – 2 of November
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🏟️ Ternana X Spal – Italy Serie C Group B |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Ternana x Spal right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1213968 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Ternana x Spal
Should you bet on Ternana?
🔵 Ternana: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 67.63%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.68. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 680 times – profiting $462.40;
- And would lose other 320 times – losing -$320.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$142.40.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.44% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $528.00
- And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$252.00.
Is betting on Spal worth it?
🔴 Spal: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 9.93% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.64. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 100 times – profiting $364.00;
- And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$536.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Ternana x Spal
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Ternana
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ternana x Spal
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Ternana, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Ternana.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Ternana.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ternana x Spal
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.25 goals.
