Virtus Verona x Pro Vercelli Betting tips for November 2 in Italy Serie C Group A
π
2/11/2024 14:00 |
Virtus Verona 2.05 |
X 3.10 |
Pro Vercelli 3.52 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Virtus Verona x Pro Vercelli:
π Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Virtus Verona x Pro Vercelli
The main points for the tip for Virtus Verona x Pro Vercelli: π If you had bet $100 on Virtus Verona in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $320.0. |
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Analysis from Virtus Verona x Pro Vercelli for the Italy Serie C Group A – 2 of November
ποΈ Virtus Verona X Pro Vercelli – Italy Serie C Group A |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Virtus Verona x Pro Vercelli right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1213968 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Virtus Verona x Pro Vercelli
Is it worth betting on Virtus Verona?
π΅ Virtus Verona: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 40.11% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 400 times – having a profit of $420.00;
- And would have lost other 600 times – with a loss of -$600.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of π°-$180.00.
Should you bet on draw?
βͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.23% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 290 times – profiting $609.00;
- And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of π°-$101.00.
Should you bet on Pro Vercelli?
π΄ Pro Vercelli: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.66%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.52. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $781.20;
- And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of π°-$91.20.
Handicaps analysis for the match Virtus Verona x Pro Vercelli
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
β Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Virtus Verona
β½ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Virtus Verona x Pro Vercelli
β Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Virtus Verona and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Virtus Verona.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Virtus Verona.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Virtus Verona x Pro Vercelli
β½ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.25 goals.