NEC x FC Groningen Betting tips for November 3 in Netherlands Eredivisie

Our betting tip for NEC x FC Groningen, Sunday, 3/11/2024

📅 3/11/2024 13:30

NEC 1.91

X 3.40

FC Groningen 4.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for NEC x FC Groningen:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1700.00!

🔮 FC Groningen wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FC Groningen, you can win up to $2000.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for NEC x FC Groningen: 👉 If you had bet $100 on NEC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $37.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Groningen in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-397.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, NEC scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against FC Groningen, NEC scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, FC Groningen conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 NEC has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against FC Groningen playing at home.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on NEC x FC Groningen?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on NEC x FC Groningen:

Analysis from NEC x FC Groningen for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 3 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for NEC x FC Groningen right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1214487 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for NEC x FC Groningen

Is it a good idea to bet on NEC?

🔵 NEC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 44.83% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.91. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 450 times – having a profit of $409.50;
• And would have lost other 550 times – with a loss of -$550.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$140.50.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.2% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 320 times – profiting $768.00;
• And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$88.00.

Is betting on FC Groningen worth it?

🔴 FC Groningen: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.97% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $690.00
• And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$80.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match NEC x FC Groningen

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 NEC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for NEC x FC Groningen

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 NEC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 NEC.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 FC Groningen.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for NEC x FC Groningen

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.