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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» San Nicolo Notaresco x Roma City Betting tips for November 3 in Italy Serie D
Sunday, 03 November 2024, 13h30 Italy Serie D
San Nicolo Notaresco San Nicolo Notaresco
PREDICTION No tip
Roma City Roma City
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San Nicolo Notaresco x Roma City Betting tips for November 3 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for San Nicolo Notaresco x Roma City, Sunday, 3/11/2024
πŸ“… 3/11/2024
13:30
San Nicolo Notaresco San Nicolo Notaresco
2.70
X
3.10
Roma City Roma City
2.41

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for San Nicolo Notaresco x Roma City:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for San Nicolo Notaresco x Roma City

The main points for the tip for San Nicolo Notaresco x Roma City:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on San Nicolo Notaresco in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-270.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Roma City in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, San Nicolo Notaresco scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, San Nicolo Notaresco conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Roma City conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ It is not a good time for Roma City as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from San Nicolo Notaresco x Roma City for the Italy Serie D – 3 of November

🏟️ San Nicolo Notaresco X Roma City – Italy Serie D
πŸ“… 3 of November, 2024 – 13:30
πŸ”΅ San Nicolo Notaresco – Winning probability: 29.68% | Fair line: 3.37
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.95% | Fair line: 3.13
πŸ”΄ Roma City – Winning probability: 38.37% | Fair line: 2.61
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 San Nicolo Notaresco
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for San Nicolo Notaresco x Roma City right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1214487 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for San Nicolo Notaresco x Roma City

Should you bet on San Nicolo Notaresco?

πŸ”΅ San Nicolo Notaresco: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.68% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $510.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$190.00.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.95%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $672.00;
  • And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$8.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Roma City?

πŸ”΄ Roma City: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 38.37%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.41. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 380 times – having a profit of $535.80;
  • And would lose other 620 times – losing -$620.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$84.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match San Nicolo Notaresco x Roma City

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 San Nicolo Notaresco
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for San Nicolo Notaresco x Roma City

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 San Nicolo Notaresco and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 San Nicolo Notaresco. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for San Nicolo Notaresco x Roma City

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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