Caravaggio x Montecchio Maggiore Betting tips for November 3 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for Caravaggio x Montecchio Maggiore, Sunday, 3/11/2024

📅 3/11/2024 13:30

Caravaggio 1.74

X 3.35

Montecchio Maggiore 4.33

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Caravaggio x Montecchio Maggiore:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Caravaggio x Montecchio Maggiore

Important information for your tip for Caravaggio x Montecchio Maggiore: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Montecchio Maggiore in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Montecchio Maggiore conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Looking for another bookie to bet on Caravaggio x Montecchio Maggiore?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Caravaggio x Montecchio Maggiore, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Caravaggio x Montecchio Maggiore for the Italy Serie D – 3 of November

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Caravaggio and Montecchio Maggiore.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1214487 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Caravaggio x Montecchio Maggiore

Is betting on Caravaggio worth it?

🔵 Caravaggio: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 58.7% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.74. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 590 times – this would give you a profit of $436.60
• And would lose other 410 times – having a loss of -$410.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$26.60. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.67% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.35. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $658.00;
• And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$62.00.

Should you bet on Montecchio Maggiore?

🔴 Montecchio Maggiore: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.64% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.33. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 140 times – profiting $466.20;
• And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$393.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match Caravaggio x Montecchio Maggiore

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Caravaggio
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Caravaggio x Montecchio Maggiore

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Caravaggio, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Caravaggio.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Montecchio Maggiore.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Caravaggio x Montecchio Maggiore

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.