SC Freiburg x Mainz Betting tips for November 3 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for SC Freiburg x Mainz, Sunday, 3/11/2024

📅 3/11/2024 14:30

SC Freiburg 1.74

X 3.90

Mainz 4.40

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for SC Freiburg x Mainz:

🔮 SC Freiburg wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on SC Freiburg, you can win up to $870.00!

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The main points for the tip for SC Freiburg x Mainz: 👉 If you had bet $100 on SC Freiburg in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $140.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Mainz in each of its last 4 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $352.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Mainz scored at least 3 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Mainz, SC Freiburg scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 SC Freiburg matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 Mainz matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, SC Freiburg conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, SC Freiburg conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Mainz. 👉 In the last 4 road matches, Mainz has not lost any of them. 👉 SC Freiburg has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Mainz playing at home.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on SC Freiburg x Mainz?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from SC Freiburg x Mainz for the Germany Bundesliga I – 3 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for SC Freiburg x Mainz right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1214487 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for SC Freiburg x Mainz

Should you bet on SC Freiburg?

🔵 SC Freiburg: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 67.01% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.74. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 670 times – profiting $495.80;
• And would have lost other 330 times – with a loss of -$330.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$165.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.3% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $551.00
• And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$259.00.

Is it worth betting on Mainz?

🔴 Mainz: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.7% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $476.00
• And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$384.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match SC Freiburg x Mainz

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 SC Freiburg
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for SC Freiburg x Mainz

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 SC Freiburg and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 SC Freiburg.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for SC Freiburg x Mainz

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.