Clube da Aposta Clube da Aposta menu  
What would you like to find?
fundo 1
free bonus kenya betting
Home » Predictions » France Ligue 1 » Le Havre x Montpellier Betting tips for November 3 in France Ligue 1
Sunday, 03 November 2024, 16h00 France Ligue 1
Le Havre Le Havre
PREDICTION Le Havre wins Probability 55% 1 X 2
Montpellier Montpellier
ODD: @2.18 Don't miss this prediction!

Le Havre x Montpellier Betting tips for November 3 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Le Havre x Montpellier, Sunday, 3/11/2024
📅 3/11/2024
16:00
Le Havre Le Havre
2.18
X
3.45
Montpellier Montpellier
3.15

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Le Havre x Montpellier:

🔮 Le Havre wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Le Havre, you can win up to $1090.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Le Havre x Montpellier:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Le Havre in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-225.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Montpellier in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 7 Le Havre matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 9 Montpellier matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Le Havre conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 9 matches as the away team, Montpellier conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Montpellier as away team: it comes from 7 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Le Havre x Montpellier?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Le Havre x Montpellier:

Analysis from Le Havre x Montpellier for the France Ligue 1 – 3 of November

🏟️ Le Havre X Montpellier – France Ligue 1
📅 3 of November, 2024 – 16:00
🔵 Le Havre – Winning probability: 55.90% | Fair line: 1.79
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.77% | Fair line: 5.63
🔴 Montpellier – Winning probability: 26.33% | Fair line: 3.8
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Le Havre
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Le Havre and Montpellier.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1214487 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Le Havre x Montpellier

Is it a good idea to bet on Le Havre?

🔵 Le Havre: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 55.9% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.18. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 560 times – this would give you a profit of $660.80
  • And would have lost other 440 times – with a loss of -$440.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$220.80.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.77% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $441.00;
  • And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$379.00.

Is it worth betting on Montpellier?

🔴 Montpellier: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.33% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $559.00;
  • And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$181.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Le Havre x Montpellier

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Le Havre
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Le Havre x Montpellier

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Le Havre, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Le Havre.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Le Havre x Montpellier

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 1.00, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
Newsletter
Newsletter

Receba o melhor conteúdo sobre Apostas Esportivas On-line direto na sua caixa de email

There is a problem with this PHP insert: missing both parameters