Le Havre x Montpellier Betting tips for November 3 in France Ligue 1
📅 3/11/2024 16:00 |
Le Havre 2.18 |
X 3.45 |
Montpellier 3.15 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Le Havre x Montpellier:
🔮 Le Havre wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Le Havre, you can win up to $1090.00!
The main points for the tip for Le Havre x Montpellier: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Le Havre in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-225.0. |
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Analysis from Le Havre x Montpellier for the France Ligue 1 – 3 of November
🏟️ Le Havre X Montpellier – France Ligue 1 |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Le Havre and Montpellier.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1214487 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Le Havre x Montpellier
Is it a good idea to bet on Le Havre?
🔵 Le Havre: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 55.9% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.18. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 560 times – this would give you a profit of $660.80
- And would have lost other 440 times – with a loss of -$440.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$220.80.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.77% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $441.00;
- And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$379.00.
Is it worth betting on Montpellier?
🔴 Montpellier: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.33% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $559.00;
- And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$181.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Le Havre x Montpellier
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Le Havre
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Le Havre x Montpellier
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Le Havre, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Le Havre.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Le Havre x Montpellier
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 1.00, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.