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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Patriotas FC x Boyaca Chico Betting tips for November 3 in Colombia Primera A
Sunday, 03 November 2024, 19h00 Colombia Primera A
Patriotas FC Patriotas FC
PREDICTION No tip
Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico
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Patriotas FC x Boyaca Chico Betting tips for November 3 in Colombia Primera A

Our betting tip for Patriotas FC x Boyaca Chico, Sunday, 3/11/2024
πŸ“… 3/11/2024
19:00
Patriotas FC Patriotas FC
1.90
X
3.20
Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico
3.85

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Patriotas FC x Boyaca Chico:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Patriotas FC x Boyaca Chico

The main points for the tip for Patriotas FC x Boyaca Chico:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Patriotas FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-310.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Boyaca Chico in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Patriotas FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Patriotas FC x Boyaca Chico, with Patriotas FC as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Patriotas FC matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Patriotas FC conceded at least 2 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Boyaca Chico conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Patriotas FC has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Boyaca Chico playing at home.
πŸ‘‰ It is not a good time for Boyaca Chico as away team: it comes from 7 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Patriotas FC x Boyaca Chico?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Patriotas FC x Boyaca Chico, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Patriotas FC x Boyaca Chico for the Colombia Primera A – 3 of November

🏟️ Patriotas FC X Boyaca Chico – Colombia Primera A
πŸ“… 3 of November, 2024 – 19:00
πŸ”΅ Patriotas FC – Winning probability: 44.06% | Fair line: 2.27
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.69% | Fair line: 3.16
πŸ”΄ Boyaca Chico – Winning probability: 24.26% | Fair line: 4.12
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Patriotas FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Patriotas FC x Boyaca Chico right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1214487 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Patriotas FC x Boyaca Chico

Is it worth betting on Patriotas FC?

πŸ”΅ Patriotas FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 44.06% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 440 times – profiting $396.00;
  • And would lose other 560 times – losing -$560.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$164.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.69% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – profiting $704.00;
  • And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$24.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is betting on Boyaca Chico worth it?

πŸ”΄ Boyaca Chico: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.26%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.85. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $684.00;
  • And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$76.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Patriotas FC x Boyaca Chico

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Patriotas FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Patriotas FC x Boyaca Chico

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Patriotas FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Patriotas FC.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Patriotas FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Patriotas FC x Boyaca Chico

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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