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Home » Predictions » Others » Colo Colo x Deportes Iquique Betting tips for November 3 in Chile Primera Division
Sunday, 03 November 2024, 21h00 Chile Primera Division
Colo Colo Colo Colo
PREDICTION Colo Colo wins Probability 81% 1 X 2
Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique
ODD: @1.44 Don't miss this prediction!

Colo Colo x Deportes Iquique Betting tips for November 3 in Chile Primera Division

Our betting tip for Colo Colo x Deportes Iquique, Sunday, 3/11/2024
📅 3/11/2024
21:00
Colo Colo Colo Colo
1.44
X
4.20
Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique
6.00

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Colo Colo x Deportes Iquique:

🔮 Colo Colo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Colo Colo, you can win up to $720.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Colo Colo x Deportes Iquique:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Colo Colo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-62.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportes Iquique in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 Deportes Iquique did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 3 Deportes Iquique matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Colo Colo x Deportes Iquique, with Colo Colo as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Deportes Iquique conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Colo Colo is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 5 home matches, it had at least 60.00% of possession.
👉 It is not a good time for Deportes Iquique as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Colo Colo x Deportes Iquique for the Chile Primera Division – 3 of November

🏟️ Colo Colo X Deportes Iquique – Chile Primera Division
📅 3 of November, 2024 – 21:00
🔵 Colo Colo – Winning probability: 81.52% | Fair line: 1.23
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 13.24% | Fair line: 7.56
🔴 Deportes Iquique – Winning probability: 5.25% | Fair line: 19.05
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Colo Colo
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Colo Colo x Deportes Iquique is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1214939 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Colo Colo x Deportes Iquique

Is betting on Colo Colo worth it?

🔵 Colo Colo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 81.52%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.44. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 820 times – profiting $360.80;
  • And would lose other 180 times – losing -$180.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$180.80.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.24% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – profiting $416.00;
  • And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$454.00.

Is betting on Deportes Iquique worth it?

🔴 Deportes Iquique: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 5.25% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 50 times – this would give you a profit of $250.00
  • And would lose other 950 times – having a loss of -$950.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$700.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Colo Colo x Deportes Iquique

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Colo Colo
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Colo Colo x Deportes Iquique

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Colo Colo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Colo Colo.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Colo Colo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Colo Colo x Deportes Iquique

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 1.00, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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