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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Estudiantes Merida x Monagas Betting tips for November 3 in Venezuela Primera Division
Sunday, 03 November 2024, 21h00 Venezuela Primera Division
Estudiantes Merida Estudiantes Merida
PREDICTION No tip
Monagas Monagas
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Estudiantes Merida x Monagas Betting tips for November 3 in Venezuela Primera Division

Our betting tip for Estudiantes Merida x Monagas, Sunday, 3/11/2024
πŸ“… 3/11/2024
21:00
Estudiantes Merida Estudiantes Merida
2.44
X
3.20
Monagas Monagas
2.55

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Estudiantes Merida x Monagas:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Estudiantes Merida x Monagas

Some important points for the tip for Estudiantes Merida x Monagas:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Estudiantes Merida in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $128.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Monagas in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $480.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Monagas scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Monagas, Estudiantes Merida scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Estudiantes Merida matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Estudiantes Merida conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Monagas.
πŸ‘‰ Estudiantes Merida has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Monagas playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Estudiantes Merida x Monagas?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Estudiantes Merida x Monagas, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Estudiantes Merida x Monagas for the Venezuela Primera Division – 3 of November

🏟️ Estudiantes Merida X Monagas – Venezuela Primera Division
πŸ“… 3 of November, 2024 – 21:00
πŸ”΅ Estudiantes Merida – Winning probability: 42.11% | Fair line: 2.37
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.00% | Fair line: 4.0
πŸ”΄ Monagas – Winning probability: 32.89% | Fair line: 3.04
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Estudiantes Merida
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Estudiantes Merida x Monagas right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1214939 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Estudiantes Merida x Monagas

Is it worth betting on Estudiantes Merida?

πŸ”΅ Estudiantes Merida: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 42.11%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.44. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 420 times – having a profit of $604.80;
  • And would have lost other 580 times – with a loss of -$580.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$24.80, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.0% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $550.00;
  • And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$200.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Monagas?

πŸ”΄ Monagas: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.89% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $511.50;
  • And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$158.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Estudiantes Merida x Monagas

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Estudiantes Merida
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Estudiantes Merida x Monagas

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Estudiantes Merida, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Estudiantes Merida. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Estudiantes Merida x Monagas

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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