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Home » Predictions » Others » America de Cali x Deportivo Cali Betting tips for November 3 in Colombia Primera A
Sunday, 03 November 2024, 21h10 Colombia Primera A
America de Cali America de Cali
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 31% 1 X 2
Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali
ODD: @3.3 Don't miss this prediction!

America de Cali x Deportivo Cali Betting tips for November 3 in Colombia Primera A

Our betting tip for America de Cali x Deportivo Cali, Sunday, 3/11/2024
📅 3/11/2024
21:10
America de Cali America de Cali
1.66
X
3.30
Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali
5.45

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for America de Cali x Deportivo Cali:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1650.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for America de Cali x Deportivo Cali:

👉 If you had bet $100 on America de Cali in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $200.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Cali in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, America de Cali scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Deportivo Cali, America de Cali scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Deportivo Cali matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Deportivo Cali conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 America de Cali is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 America de Cali has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Deportivo Cali playing at home.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on America de Cali x Deportivo Cali?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on America de Cali x Deportivo Cali, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from America de Cali x Deportivo Cali for the Colombia Primera A – 3 of November

🏟️ America de Cali X Deportivo Cali – Colombia Primera A
📅 3 of November, 2024 – 21:10
🔵 America de Cali – Winning probability: 55.75% | Fair line: 1.79
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.09% | Fair line: 3.22
🔴 Deportivo Cali – Winning probability: 13.16% | Fair line: 7.6
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 America de Cali
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between America de Cali and Deportivo Cali.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1214939 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for America de Cali x Deportivo Cali

Should you bet on America de Cali?

🔵 America de Cali: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 55.75% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.66. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 560 times – this would give you a profit of $369.60
  • And would lose other 440 times – losing -$440.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$70.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.09% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $713.00
  • And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$23.00.

Is it worth betting on Deportivo Cali?

🔴 Deportivo Cali: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.16% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.45. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $578.50;
  • And would lose other 870 times – losing -$870.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$291.50.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match America de Cali x Deportivo Cali

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 America de Cali
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for America de Cali x Deportivo Cali

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 America de Cali and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 America de Cali.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 America de Cali.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for America de Cali x Deportivo Cali

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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