Millonarios x Deportivo Pasto Betting tips for November 3 in Colombia Primera A
| 📅 3/11/2024 23:20 |
 Millonarios1.69 |
X 3.10 |
Deportivo Pasto  5.25 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Millonarios x Deportivo Pasto:
🔮 Millonarios wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Millonarios, you can win up to $845.00!
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Important information for your tip for Millonarios x Deportivo Pasto: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Millonarios in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-17.0. |
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Analysis from Millonarios x Deportivo Pasto for the Colombia Primera A – 3 of November
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🏟️ Millonarios X Deportivo Pasto – Colombia Primera A |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Millonarios x Deportivo Pasto right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1214939 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Millonarios x Deportivo Pasto
Should you bet on Millonarios?
🔵 Millonarios: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 68.05% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.69. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 680 times – this would give you a profit of $469.20
- And would lose other 320 times – losing -$320.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$149.20.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.04% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $504.00
- And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$256.00.
Is betting on Deportivo Pasto worth it?
🔴 Deportivo Pasto: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 7.91% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 80 times – profiting $340.00;
- And would lose other 920 times – having a loss of -$920.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$580.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Millonarios x Deportivo Pasto
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Millonarios
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Millonarios x Deportivo Pasto
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Millonarios, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Millonarios.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Deportivo Pasto.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Millonarios x Deportivo Pasto
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 1.00, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
